Peso mexicano, sobrevaloración en el 2024
El inicio del año 2024 ha sido marcado por un auspicioso repunte en varios indicadores económicos, destacándose entre ellos la notable apreciación del peso mexicano.
La inflación está generando ganadores y perdedores, un análisis del sector automotriz
Los grandes vencedores de la inflación dejan un reguero de ganadores y perdedores endeudados por el camino. Los fabricantes de coches han compensado
The economic activity of the U.S. in the second quarter of '23 (on the path of expansion).
La actividad económica del segundo trimestre ha repuntado en Estados Unidos, según la estimación mediana de varias fuentes recopiladas por CapitalSpectator.com. Esta estimación más sólida
The Mexican peso defies and sets a new record
The Mexican peso persists and continues to break records, maintaining a favorable streak as it is now quoted at 17.26 units per dollar, reaching levels similar to those of March 2016 on Friday, June 30, 2023.
Mexico: Economic Outlook for 2023 and 2024.
Economic Outlook: Real GDP growth is decelerating, with consumption supported by labor market improvements, and exports benefiting but affected by a slowdown in the United States. Inflation is expected to decrease. Measures include energy savings, restrictive monetary policy, competition, and childcare.
Economic Outlook for 2023
The current economic outlook poses significant challenges and a high degree of uncertainty. Various tensions within the financial sector have the potential to amplify and weaken the real economy. This situation could lead to a severe deterioration in financing conditions, prompting central banks to reassess their policies.
Tensiones financieras recientes, sus posibles consecuencias.
The article analyzes the financial tensions unleashed in the United States and their contagion to a Swiss credit institution, as well as the containment measures adopted by the public authorities. The implications for a possible financial crisis are examined, and three fundamental conclusions are highlighted.
Financial Crisis: Similarities and Differences with the 2008 Financial Crisis
The 2008 financial crisis was caused by the granting of high-risk mortgage loans to borrowers with low repayment capacity, the expansion of the real estate bubble, the overvaluation of financial assets, and the lack of adequate regulation of financial markets.
The Fed and the specter of a financial crisis
The increase in interest rates by the Federal Reserve in the United States is having effects on the economy, as demonstrated by the bankruptcy of Silicon Valley Bank. Although the financial system has control mechanisms to reduce financial risk, the financial situation of US banks does not appear to be solid. The Fed has the difficult task of combating inflation and shoring up financial instability. Most of the Fed's tightening cycles have ended with something breaking in the financial system, from the crash of '29 to the global financial crisis. In this phase of the interest rate cycle, some banks will face pressures, and the Fed must accept it.
Inflation reaches highs in a low-growth context
INFORMES DE PERSPECTIVAS DE LA ECONOMÍA MUNDIAL: Al prever que la economía mundial podría desacelerarse para luego repuntar en un futuro (2024 y 2025), es importante tener en cuenta que el crecimiento aún está siendo afectado por la inflación y la actividad bélica entre Rusia y Ucrania. La desaceleración de la economía mundial continuará en medio de indicios de resiliencia y la reapertura de China. La lucha contra la inflación está comenzando a dar sus frutos, aunque los bancos centrales deben continuar sus esfuerzos
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